Wednesday’s lower-strain place over South-East Bay of Bengal and the adjoining Andaman Sea now has intensified a round to come to be ‘well-marked’ over the same region this (Thursday) morning, India Meteorological Office (IMD) explained in an update.
The very well-marked ‘low’ is most likely to transfer West-North-West across the waters and concentrate into a despair over the South-East Bay later now (Thursday) and further intensify into a cyclone over the Central Bay of Bengal by tomorrow (Friday).
Shift in onward monitor
From this position, the projected cyclone is expected to make a slight transform in the monitor for onward movement to the North-West (as against West-North-West), intensify further into a potent cyclone and approach the North Andhra Pradesh-Odisha coasts by Saturday morning.
This will carry hefty rainfall over Andaman & Nicobar Islands now (Thursday) hefty to pretty hefty rainfall over North Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Coastal Odisha from tomorrow (Friday) to Sunday and over the plains of West Bengal from Saturday to Monday in line with the monitor of the cyclone. Isolated particularly hefty falls are most likely over Coastal Odisha and North Coastal Andhra Pradesh on Saturday.
Warning to fishermen
Fishermen are advised not to undertaking into the Andaman Sea now (Thursday) into South-East and adjoining East-Central Bay on both of those Thursday and Friday over West-Central and adjoining North-West Bay and alongside and off the North Andhra Pradesh-Odisha coasts from Friday to Sunday and alongside & off the Odisha-West Bengal coasts from Friday to Monday.
Meanwhile, to the other aspect of the Peninsula, a cyclonic circulation lies over East-Central Arabian Sea persists but outlook for a lower-strain place establishing right here seems to have been withdrawn. A trough operates from South-East Arabian Sea to Kutch across this cyclonic circulation. A itinerant western disturbance lies as a trough around alongside Iran-Iraq and is on way to Afghanistan, Pakistan and North India.
Inbound western disturbance
Westerly winds associated with the western disturbance will interact with easterlies from the Bay and trigger Isolated to scattered rainfall over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh now (Thursday). Isolated thunderstorms/lightning are most likely over Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan.
The IMD expects yet another western disturbance to chug in from across the border into North-West India from the night of Saturday. An prolonged outlook for December 7-nine explained that scattered to pretty popular rainfall is most likely over sections of Peninsular India (not South Peninsula) and North-East India. Isolated to scattered rainfall is forecast over sections of East India, hills of North-West India and the Islands.